On statistical correlation

at the law offices of Flibberty, Gibbet, & Molly; one of the leading law firms of Gotham City. 

A meeting had just started in the large conference room. In attendance were all the partners of the firm. There was only one item on the agenda — J. B. Gibbet, one of the senior partners of the firm, was going to make a recommendation on how the firm could improve its dismal record on appeals. It seems that Flibberty, Gibbet, & Molly had wound up on the losing end more than 90% of the time. 

The meeting begins. Old business is dispensed with and J. B. Gibbet is given the floor. He speaks. 

“I'll be brief. In trying to find a solution to our problem, I researched all the appeals filed  over the last 5 years. Here's what I found. Of those filed on Mondays, 31% were successful; Tuesdays, 19%; Wednesdays, 22%, Thursdays, 37%, but a whopping 63% success rate for appeals filed on Fridays. Good stuff, I thought. So I went further. 

“It turns out that 72% of the appeals filed on Fridays before 12:00 noon were successful, whereas only 28% of those filed after 12:00 noon were victorious. 

“I was so heartened by these findings that I took a look at one more variable — the difference between appeals filed by male law clerks and those filed by female law clerks. Bingo! I hit the jackpot, there. It turns out that only 11% of the appeals filed by male law clerks were successful while the ladies were successful an amazing 89% of the time. 

“With all these data, the solution to our problem is obvious — have only our female law clerks file all our appeals, and only on Fridays before noon. If we do that, I don't see how we can miss.” 

The meeting ended with applause and cries of “J.B., you did it again.” 

Think about it.

Your comments are welcome
The End
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