he practice of using mathematics
to give the appearance of solidity to what is really pure wind seems
to be more widespread among economists than among any other group of
people.
It
apparently began in the thirties when economists at the
Bureau of Labor Statistics tried to understand what had brought on
the Great Depression by searching the principles of classical
economic theory. They failed.
And so they went on
a fishing expedition, studying the economic numbers
themselves, as numbers, hoping to find a reliable set of
relationships that could serve as a basis for understanding how an
economy works. They couldn't. And they didn’t.
More than a half
century has passed since then and economists are still
crunching numbers trying to find a reliable set of relationships
that could serve as a basis for understanding how an economy works.
They can’t. And they won't.
The only
difference between what they used to do and what they do
now is that now they use high-speed computers to do it.
However, the
problem is that their computer programs are based on
assumptions that haven’t the slightest provable relationship to what
actually happens in the real world.
Also their
measurements and data are highly suspect.
And to top it
off, economic conditions, situations, and circumstances are
never the same twice.
Yet, despite these
defects which render their findings utterly useless,
economists today enjoy a status in society as respectable as that of
the physicist and the physician, members of professions that make a
real contribution to knowledge.
Pierre Gallois had
it exactly right when he said: "If you put tomfoolery into
a computer, nothing comes out but tomfoolery. But this tomfoolery,
having passed through a very expensive machine, is somehow ennobled
and no one dares criticize it." Well, almost no one.
Think about
it. 