educator and
writer
Neil Postman was in college, he took a
course in health.
During one of the class meetings, the
professor was lecturing on the incidence of hunger throughout the
world. She concluded with a statement that she claimed to be
well-documented — that at least six billion children go to sleep
hungry every night.
As Postman recounts the story, the students
present may not have known much about statistics, but they did know
that there were only about three billion people total living on the
planet at the time.
The point was made to her. She looked
startled for a moment, and checked her notes. Then she looked up and
said, somewhat relieved, "I know it doesn’t sound right, but that’s
what I’ve got here."
Now why do people who are normally rational
and reasonable act like mindless coat hangers when faced with
statistics? For example, Bill O'Reilly, who I think is one of the
brighter guys on TV, seems to be completely intimidated by what he
calls "the stats."
I don’t know. But I’ll take a stab at
it.
First, statistics imply preparation and
interpretation by experts.
Second, the
jargon of statistics is difficult for the lay person to
understand.
Third, the material
involved may be outside one’s own field.
And fourth,
statistics are expressed in numbers, implying exactitude.
But are statistics all these things? Maybe.
Maybe not.
Here are several published statistics I’ve
run across in the last few years. You tell me.
1 There
are 30,000,000 rats in this country.
2 There
are 4% more crows in California this year than there were last
year. And
3
Cocaine use in this country fell by 80% during Clinton’s first
three years in office.
Hmmmmm. Weeeeell, OK. Come to think of it, maybe there were
six billion children
who went to sleep hungry every night at a time when there were only
three billion people total living on the planet. After all, isn’t
that the statistic the professor had in her notes?
Think about it.
